Daily Runoff Prediction in Maroun Basin Using HEC-HMS Model

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Graduated of Water Resources Engineering, University of Zabol. Zabol, Iran

2 Graduated ph.d, Dept. of Water Engineering, Faculty of Water and Soil, University of Zabol.

3 Associate Professor, Dept. of Water Engineering, Faculty of Water and Soil, University of Zabol

Abstract

The prediction of stream-flow have incessantly attracted water engineer studies with due regard to its importance in the design of water structures, water intake from the rivers, planning and operation of reservoirs of dams, and erosion and sedimentation control measures in rivers. In this research, HEC-HMS model was used in prediction of daily stream-flow in the Maroun Basin, evaluating the ability and precision of this model in predicting stream-flow. For this purpose, continuous simulation of daily rainfall-runoff was performed before the prediction period using soil moisture accounting algorithm (SMA). In order to calibrate and verify the HEC-HMS model, daily stream-flow data from 1995 to 2006 and from 2007 to 2011 at the Idenak hydrometric Station were respectively used. Then, daily stream-flow at Idenak Station was predicted from 2011 to 2012. The results showed that the goodness of fit tests including Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency index, coefficient of determination and root mean square error in the runoff prediction process at Idenak station are equal to 0.56, 0.67 and 32.2 m3/s, respectively. Therefore, the HEC-HMS model has acceptable ability and precision in predicting runoff.

Keywords


 
خضریان‌نژاد، ن.، حجام، س.، میرزایی، ا.، و مشکواتی، ا.ح.، (1391)، "پیش‌بینی رواناب حوضه آبریز تیره با استفاده از پیش‌بینی کمی بارش خروجی مدل WRF"، نشریه پژوهش‌های اقلیم‌شناسی، 12، 53-68.
زلکی بدیلی، ن.، صیاد، غ.ع.، حمادی، ک.، اخوان، س.، و عبدی، ع.، (1391)، "شبیه­سازی رواناب حوضه آبخیز سد مارون (ایدنک) با استفاده از مدل SWAT"، مهندسی زراعی (مجله علمی کشاورزی)، 35(2)، 25-36.
غفوری، م.ر.، ثقفیان، ب.، طاهری شهرآئینی، ح.، و باقری شورکی، س.، (1391)، "مدل‌سازی جریان روزانه رودخانه کارون  به کمک  مدل تابع تلفات SMA"، مجله تحقیقات منابع آب، 9، 73-77.
معصوم زاده، س.، و فتحیان، ح.، (1395)، "تفکیک جریان پایه از رواناب کل در حوضه دز با استفاده از مدل HEC-HMS"، سومین کنفرانس بینالمللی دستاوردهای نوین پژوهشی در مهندسی عمران، معماری و مدیریت شهری. دانشگاه صنعتی امیرکبیر.
یعقوبی، م.، و مساح بوانی،ع.، (1393)، "تحلیل حساسیت و مقایسه عملکرد سه مدل مفهومی HBV، IHARCES  وHEC-HMS در شبیه‌سازی بارش-رواناب پیوسته در حوضه‌‌های نیمه‌خشک (بررسی موردی: حوضه اعظم هرات-یزد)"، مجله فیزیک زمین و فضا، 40(2)، 153-172.
Gumindoga, W., Rwasoka, D. T., Nhapi, I., and Dube, T., (2017), "Ungauged runoff simulation in Upper Manyame catchment, Zimbabwe: Application of the HEC-HMS model", Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C, 100, 371-382.
Hydrologic Engineering Center (HEC), (2000)," Hydrologic modeling system HEC–HMS: Technical reference manual”, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers", Hydrologic Engineering Center, Davis, California.
Koch, R., and Bene, K., (2013), "Continuous hydrologic modelling with HMS in the Aggtelek Karst region". Hydrology, 1(1), 1-7.
Razmkhah H. Saghafian B. Akhoundali A.M., and Radmanesh F., (2016), “Rainfall_runoff modeling considering soil moisture accounting algorithm, Case study: Karoon III river basin”, Water Resources 43(4), 699-710.
Şengül, S., and Can, İ., (2011), "Stochastic modelling of mean monthly flows of Karasu river, in Turkey", Water and Environment Journal, 25(1), 31-39.
Singh, W.R., and Jain, M.K., (2015), "Continuous hydrological modeling using soil moisture accounting algorithm in Vamsadhara river basin, India", Journal Water Resources Hydraulic Engineering, 4(4), 398-408.
Sintayehu, L.G., (2015), “Application of the HEC-HMS model for runoff simulation of Upper Blue Nile river basin”, Hydrology Current Research, 6(2), 2-8.
Sup, M.S., Taley, S.M., and Kale, M.U., (2015), "Rainfall-runoff modeling using HEC HMS for Wan river basin", International Journal of Research in Engineering Science and Technologies, 1(8), 20-28.
Valipour, M., (2015), “Long–term runoff using SARIMA and ARIMA models in the United States”, Meteorological Applications, 22, 592–598.
Valipour, M., Banihabib, M.E., and Behbahani, S.M.R., (2012), “Monthly inflow forecasting using autoregressive artifical neural network", Journal of Applied Sciences, 12(20), 2139-2147.
Yurekli, K., Kuruc, K., Ozturk, F., (2005), "Application of linear stochastic models to monthly flow data of Kellkit stream”, Ecological Modeling, 183, 67-75.